10.24.2010

Overturned Sway of NAFTA

  Lay off, this is a vital proposition to hit a snag and pinched the U.S. at this contemporary stage. My
quoting article is just fresh from the oven and it mentioned about both democrats and republican vilify each other for the job losses in Ohio. Democrats and union leaders delineate that 3 million jobs have been lost because NAFTA upheld by republicans. However, the nearest polls indicated that republican have more comparative advantages in all statewide races. Despite this liability is on defaulted to either, as an anew, presumably, I can’t fancy the rejuvenation of this economic would arrive apart from those monolithic and desperate unemployment. Let’s say, even if you are an philosopher, ideologist or physician, you still need to pay your monthly base of bills, insurance, food , gas and a lot of thing you have to live with your own means. Where these stuffs come from? Definitely, job! Conspicuously, this current situation spawns a lot of lay off. While we construe this situation, I don’t acclaim to pass the entire responsibilities on to Chinese shoulder. NAFTA should take proportional responsibilities and incumbencies.

  If we would like rationalize the situation in this quotation article, we should retrospect the parochial tactics and negative factors.

  On behalf of parochial tactics, the composition of NAFTA shouldn’t be ignorable from two points, as below

  Mexico has been becoming an emerging market contrast to the U.S. and Canada. At the minimum least, it should dispense the subsidies from those two countries up to be independent in the constructing economies and politics.

  Base on those mutual benefits, the U.S., Canada and Mexico should be an intimate union to contend the foreign “merchant fleet”, but sometimes they are impotent to this even hand in hand.

  Due to the negative factors, obviously, the U.S. is disbursing too much for NAFTA, as below

  The U.S. had to grant 6-10 billion to consummate the board linked to Mexico which would intensify those trade cost on the U.S.

  NAFTA would confine those three countries in this specific zone, so the trade barriers would react to the global markets. The international trade and capital flow wouldn’t be smoothly circulated.

InvestorWords.com (Producer). (2010). NAFTA. Retrieved from  










10.22.2010

Redemption or Preemption-We Contemplate these relationships!

Accord to this article, we could muse the current global finance climate within WTO. VISA and Mater were extremely intransigent to disparage China Union’s ploy by it have been trying to monopolize the payment transaction domestically. Both Visa and Master had indicted China Union’s action by applying the arbitration from W.T.O... Inceptively, when China Union commences to join the business international settlement, Visa and Mater enlist China Union to exploit Chinese domestic market. After they ran a little while, China Union would like to preempt its domestic market which is going to be disconcerting to Visa and Master. Not surprisingly, China Union not only went in for its domestic market but also usurped those ample markets overseas by Chinese people is accustomed to use credit card for travelling abroad. Let’s say that China Union had performed nefariously, but what else we could malign but only this kind of free competition controlled by its intangible hand governmentally.



In my point of view, contemporarily, if a developed country plunge its leading resources to provoke a new emerging market. It’s equivalent to adventure on divulging its prowess to that market outright. On the other hand, a developed country had to scrapple for its domestic market just because nobody would be voluntary to get its business opportunity snatched and intruded. If we desire some specific marketing share or hope those trade to run smoothly, we should be precautionary to protect our market by procuring the cosmopolitan legislation. Likewise, W.T.O. had ratified the U.S authority to outflank Chinese chicken feet and tires impartially. Frankly, Trade is a zero-sum game. Conclusively, risk and opportunity is perplexing and coexisting.


Reference


Barr, C. (2010). Can Visa, Master crack China? Retrieved from http://finance.fortune.cnn.co


m/2010/09/15/cam-visa-MasterCard-crack-china/

10.06.2010

Duress or Defense of Import Tariff

Accord to these two articles, we may grab depth-analysis base on the trade between the U.S and China. Plausibly, Chinese authority insists on suppressing the worth of its currency with turning a deaf ear to other countries’ evaluations headed by the U.S.


In this Wednesday, House of Representatives of the U.S had approved a motion that the U.S would punish those countries if they are going to underestimate the value of their currencies. The congressman and businessman repudiated the Chinese authorities manipulate the RMB exchange rate in order to plummet the price of Chinese exported products. As they said, this solution would trigger millions of unemployment within the U.S horribly. President Obama also referred this issue during he was visiting lowa, he said he had already urged China to implement their exchange rate appreciation. Because the underestimated value of Chinese currency had caused the terrible trade deficit reached 145 billion approximately.


This motion empowered U.S Commerce Depart to tax some imported product from those countries whose currencies are over underestimated. The C.E.O of IMF Mr. Kahn also complied with this motion. Actually, President Obama had ever contact the Chinese premier Wen Jiabao, but they hadn’t reached any agreements after engaged a long dialogue. However, President Obama didn’t know Chinese authority is the best player of delaying time. I could understand President Obama might ever feel torturous and agonizing in this meeting. However, the senior consultant of White House named James Bader stated, this was a genuine conversation.


We realized the situation as to the Chinese authority subdues the exchange rate appreciation of Chinese currency while the U.S Commerce Department imposes the high tariff on the exported products from China gradually, but not many of us didn’t postulate the root attributes of this worsening problem. We would be curious why the Chinese authority prefer to encounter that revolt and rebuke but not to make its exchange rate appreciation happened. In my point of view, if the Chinese authority is going to emancipate its exchange rate regime, it would strike its exported companies, thus, the trade surpass would shorten, so the inflows from foreign would be decreased too. More outstandingly, the Chinese authority is creating those regimes of social medical insurance, minimum wages system to its citizens, which would add up the cost for every company. China could still spend that money on infrastructure because it has potent foreign exchange reserve, also, it has domestic high saving ratio. Once the exchange rate appreciation incur, those money of foreign exchange reserve would depreciate, also, its immanent saving would blow out to the foreign countries, because people have more money to spend abroad. Most outstandingly, the exchange rate appreciation would incur the loss of trade. That’s why the China authority would not take the risk of appreciating its exchange rate. China didn’t want to throw the good money after bad.


However, the Chinese authority shouldn’t only consider the benefit of itself. It should more consider about the internal inflation, the relationship and employment rate of U.S. Tariff punishment is just phenomenon, but its depth reason should be exchange rate appreciation by China. Eventually, I state, I support the exchange rate appreciation promptly. However, I am worrying about what the founder of Kynikos Associates (Hedge Fund) said, if the real estate bubbles is cracking, the Chinese economies would be crumple. At that point, the terrible Chinese exchange rate deprecation would be substantiated.

To be, or not to be, that’s a question!
Some information retrieved from the note offered by Professor Elizabeth Robson.